this post was submitted on 16 Aug 2025
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My great grandfather was a ferrier, a person who shoes horses. He trained from the age of 12 on how to trim hooves and set nails and repair damage. By all accounts he was very good at it. And at the time automobiles were only for the ultra rich as a hobby or a social statement. Horses were for everyone else, and my great granpappy was pretty sure he had a career for life and to heck with those new fangled rotomobiles
But it took less than 15 years for horse ownership to collapse (and a good thing too, most cities were facing a dung removal logistical nightmare) and he went from a skilled tradesman to a day laborer to a dead alcoholic in less than 20 years
Maybe you can learn some lessons from his arrogance.
Oh, that I can, and thank you for your message, really. With that said, here is the differences: cars did work as a transport, and AI as it is marketed (magic replacer of all) does not, and even in the narrow use case of programming - no, it does not. It can produce heaps of lines of code, it cannot do the work of building a reliable software that does what is required of it. It has also failed to replace artists. So no, I am not afraid
Compare AI generated content from now and 2 years ago and extrapolate the curve
It's not linear, but your monkey brain will insist it is
That's why you're not afraid.
Honestly taking programmer jobs isn't even close to the worst thing AI is going to do to us
My monkey brain keeps hearing of non-linear progress, and things keep staying here:
Besides that, since you insist on being fearful: why AI of all things and not a handful of rich assholes who actually make our lives hard every damn day?
I don't think you understand how dangerous a system is that can correlate every factor of every humans post activity and use it to create manipulative profiles for ever human who has ever logged in to anything
Ooh, scary once again. First, let me give you some credit and take the description for face value: How is this omnipotent system going to be created? By humans who err? By current LLMs which dream up names of libraries and functions? And most importantly, how is it going to become capable of manipulating "anyone to do anything" when even "I" do not always know what it is going to take for me to do some arbitrary X, and this is true for almost all humans, save sages/buddhas etc (can't deny they are possible, so count them as existing)?
Your proposed threat looks like a conspiracy theory. Some of them have proven to be actually true, and this is no reason to believe anything