this post was submitted on 22 Sep 2025
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Huh. So 45,625 killed by guns each year, about 1/10th of 1% but since people live longer than a year, I wonder what the lifetime risk is? Surely nowhere near risk of being killed by a car but probably much higher than the 1/10th of 1%.
The probability to NOT be killed by a gun is 0.999^x, where x is the number of years.
At 50 years that would be ~95%, i.e. 5% chance to be killed by a gun before turning 50
At 80 its ~8%
At 100 its ~10%
Shouldn't we factor in things like skin colour? I feel like that might have an impact on the likelihood.