this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2025
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Odd-numbered years are relatively quiet in US elections. Very few things are on our ballots, and most of them are state and local issues like judges and city council seats. The Democrats won the few high-profile races: NYC mayor, two state governors, and a referendum in California about redrawing electoral district maps.
The next big election will be in November 2026. Most of the seats in the national legislature will be up for election (all 435 House seats, and 33 of 100 Senate seats). Also 36 state governors, and many seats in the state legislatures.
It wouldn't surprise me if republicans/maga wins again in 2026.
They're losing the House in most timelines. But the Senate is a bit tough, all but one of the seats up for reelection is in a solid blue or solid red state, Maine is easy to flip, as for the other red seats... it's an uphill battle, 3 seats + Maine is needed. You'd need a massive "blue wave" in order to flip those.
Staggered elections... totally fucking us
I know about third party trickering in the presidential election, but how probable is it there could be a non dem/republican senator? Are there any in the house?
Diversity is often a good thing for democracy (except when you have stupid winner takes it all elections like you do and we have here in france too).