The highest unemployment rate during the great depression was 24%. The knockon effects of almost 12% of the ecconomy losing work will make that pale in comparison. But hey, this 12% is probably just at the beginning. After all, AI is the worst it will ever be.
This seems like a recipe for guillotines or UBI. Wonder wich the rich will choose?
Edir: was he the first of many?
Lawyers? Doctors? Novelists? Digital art creators? Medical researchers? Astronomers?
Those are just the ones I could think of, but basically anything that uses words, pattern recognition, or graphics.
Anyone who trusts an AI lawyer or doctor will get exactly the kind of service they deserve.
Better service with a more reliable and repeatable doctor for cheaper? I mean, yeah, everyone deserves that.
Literally a hard coded bot that just follows the exact same steps but coded by a professional doctor would be better than most american health care. The sheer ability of a bot to be repeatable and consistent immedietely places them in a different echelon for delicate procedures in the medical field. While LLMs have inherit vulnerabilities such as hallucinations, an actual AI trained on all the precedent cases for our legal system would be the greatest lawyer ever created. Effectively free because it can be run on your local computer, and yet with all the legal knowledge of our entire country in a fairly indexable package? Sounds incredible.
The biggest bit of muance here is that, admittedly, i dont realistically see AI replacing humans entirely at least in the short term. For creative processes that youre not willing to license out to a generative model largely trained on poisoned ai slop, the only way to get a bot to produce anything decent is to give it near human level intelligence at least within its field. Human level intelligence is a much trickier thing to create than basic dumb automation.
If an AI lawyer or doctor costs 1/10,000 the cost, a lot of people will risk it. Hell, insurance companies would be drooling over the opportunity.
It's actually the opposite: https://futurism.com/future-society/insurance-cyber-risk-ai
Different context of AI utilization. AI to deny claims is a dead giveaway. For the other stuff, they'll chip away at it.
What a big if you imagined
I think an especially interesting use case for AI is yearly cancer screening. Instead of doing screening only every 5-10 years (and only for specific body parts), you could screen yearly, if the costs of the tests drop dramatically. As we all know, early detection is key to effective treatment.
None of these things will be replaced. They will be (and are) assistants, which is nice, but the idea that whole professions will be usurped is fantasy.
Welcome to lemmy where every question is 100% or 0%. AI will augment many professions leading to a lower need for such people.
Fediverse Spaceport. You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and pedantry. We must be cautious.