this post was submitted on 02 Sep 2025
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[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 2 points 4 days ago

I remind you that Trump won a second time because 8 Million DNC voters stayed home.

Yeah, but like, everyone with any sense saw that coming. And most of us were pretty loud about it. Trump didn't "win" 2024 so much as Democrats campaigned in a manner as to seemingly intentionally lose the election. And to be clear, Hawaii, as always, went hard D (even though MAGA did pick up 1 state seat). But its going to be even more extreme this cycle.

And this is why I'm making the point that "who" and how they campaign really matters here; Case is very vulnerable, but not to just any D' in a suit. Its gotta be someone willing to tap into the unaddressed grievances that Dem's have left on the table for decades. And Honolulu is incredibly "insider" in terms of its politics, and the first district is maybe one of the strongest examples of this.

You’ve got a lot more faith in voters suddenly changing their ways than I do

I think I've got a pretty good read on voters and what works or doesn't work in a given context.