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Trump Suggests U.S. ‘Shouldn’t Even Have’ November Midterms (www.forbes.com)

submitted 5 days ago by CubitOom@infosec.pub to c/usa@midwest.social

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[–] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 40 points 5 days ago (33 children)

44%. That’s the share of voters who said they would back a Democratic candidate in the midterms, according to an Economist/YouGov poll conducted Jan. 9-12, versus 40% who would back the Republican candidate. The poll is in line with other recent surveys on which party is favored in November, with an average of polls by RealClear Polling finding Democrats have a 4.3% advantage over Republicans as of Thursday.

Jesus tapdancing christ. 44% to 40%. Just… wow.

My compete and total lack of faith in the mental competence of the American electorate is certainly coming to a middle.

I fucking hate it here.

[–] ozymandias@sh.itjust.works 11 points 5 days ago (6 children)

1,600 people were polled.
https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_qsNv5iE.pdf

that’s not enough to represent the country, and who knows what their methods are

[–] Peehole@piefed.social 4 points 5 days ago (2 children)

It can be enough but only if the sample is representative and I think often these are done by calling people on landline and the people who still have a landline and would be willing to take a survey are a very specific subset of our population so probably that sample is not representative but it’s not due to the sample size.

[–] SwingingTheLamp@midwest.social 3 points 5 days ago (1 children)

YouGov has published a page about its polling methodology. Polling groups abandoned the random telephone survey decades ago, at this point.

[–] Peehole@piefed.social 1 points 5 days ago

Cool, in my country they still do that unfortunately.

[–] ozymandias@sh.itjust.works 2 points 5 days ago

that sample size is still way too small

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