Putting aside the question of whether the leadership of those countries actually wanted to arrest him, it's not obvious to me what they could actually do.

When an aircraft is passing through, and not actually landing, they could order it to land (which it would refuse to do, presumably), then they could resort to some posturing with fighter aircraft, then they would either have to give up or shoot down a foreign head of state.

Unless they're willing to immediately go to war with Israel and the US, and likely a bunch of other countries, there's really nothing they can do about it