this post was submitted on 09 Oct 2026
934 points (97.6% liked)

Technology

88745 readers
2893 users here now

This is a most excellent place for technology news and articles.


Our Rules


  1. Follow the lemmy.world rules.
  2. Only tech related news or articles.
  3. Be excellent to each other!
  4. Mod approved content bots can post up to 10 articles per day.
  5. Threads asking for personal tech support may be deleted.
  6. Politics threads may be removed.
  7. No memes allowed as posts, OK to post as comments.
  8. Only approved bots from the list below, this includes using AI responses and summaries. To ask if your bot can be added please contact a mod.
  9. Check for duplicates before posting, duplicates may be removed
  10. Accounts 7 days and younger will have their posts automatically removed.

Approved Bots


founded 3 years ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] Not_mikey@lemmy.dbzer0.com 27 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (14 children)

Basically, the AI lab told backers to expect revenues approaching $50 billion — far shorter than the explosive $70 billion number reported previously.

Though that $70 billion figure was also based on leaked investor memos, OpenAI wasn’t in any hurry to deny it, digging itself into a $20 billion hole.

So they told investors they'd make $70b and now they're bringing down the forecast to $50b . $50b is still insane, that's more revenue then any other software company except Microsoft (and probably anthropic), next closest is Salesforce with $41b, and Salesforce built that revenue over decades. Open AI finished 2025 with $13b in revenue, that's nearly 4x growth in a year on more then 10 billion in revenue, that has never been done before.

Idk if this is a sign of a bubble collapsing just because it's record setting growth and revenue aren't as explosive as they initially said. It is still very much explosive, but more a fission bomb then an h bomb. It seems the market agrees, Nvidia is down ~1% on this news, but still up 5% on this month and 20% yoy.

[–] skibidi@lemmy.world 14 points 3 days ago (6 children)

50B is annualized revenue, accrued revenue will be almost certainly be quite a bit lower this year.

Tech companies love reporting ARR because it is always bigger than GAAP revenue (if the business is growing at all).

[–] likebudda@reddthat.com 12 points 3 days ago (5 children)

It's not annualized in the traditional sense. They take their highest revenue day and multiply it by 365.

[–] KaiFeng@lemmy.world 6 points 3 days ago (2 children)

That... Doesn't make sense does it? Like apart from fraud what's the point of doing it like that?

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 1 points 15 hours ago

They need to pull a big number from where the sun don't shine.

[–] CrimeIsLegalNow@ani.social 5 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Oh, it's absolutely a fraud meant to deceive investors.

Just not legally speaking.

[–] redballooon@lemmy.world 1 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

But the $70b number was published by an investor, and OpenAIs crime was to not disagree publicly. Makes me wonder who is frauding whom.

I won't pretend to understand this news.

load more comments (2 replies)
load more comments (2 replies)
load more comments (9 replies)