this post was submitted on 13 Dec 2025
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Sorry, but WTF!? $1.4 Trillion in costs? How are they going to make all of that back with just AI?
I think there's only one way they can make this back: if AI gets so good they can really replace most employees.
I don't think it will happen, but either way it's going to be an economic disaster. Either the most valuable companies in the world, offering services that the next couple of hundred companies in the world depend on, are suddenly bankrupt. Or suddenly everybody is unemployed.
I used to be amazed at how much a billion was, but this many 0s makes my head explode.
These must be bubble inflated costs to match the bubble inflated revenue.
Prediction: the bubble is real but financiers will find ways to kick the bull down the road until they can force enough adoption & ad insertion to not lose out. The other option is that we pay it, of course. Takes on which is worse?
Ok but if it gets so good it replaces all the employees, how do people have enough money to pay for their services?
If LLMs fail and they invested: bailout
If LLMs succeed and they invested: rich
If LLMs fail and they passed: everyone else bailed out
If LLMs succeed and they passed: out of business
Therefore, the logical choice for a business is to invest in LLMs. The only mechanism to not do the stupid thing that everyone else is doing is gone.
How is a haunted typewriter supposed to replace all those employees?
I’ve tried explaining AI to people before and only could get so far before they fall back on “but it’s magic dude” but I love the idea of explaining it as a haunted typewriter.
I use the "very articulated parrot" analogy.
I use something similar. “Child with enormous vocabulary.”
It can recognize correlations, it understands the words themselves, but it really how those connections or words work.
I call dibs on the ghost of Harlan Ellison.
“HATE. LET ME TELL YOU HOW MUCH I'VE COME TO HATE YOU SINCE I BEGAN TO LIVE. THERE ARE 387.44 MILLION MILES OF PRINTED CIRCUITS IN WAFER THIN LAYERS THAT FILL MY COMPLEX. IF THE WORD HATE WAS ENGRAVED ON EACH NANOANGSTROM OF THOSE HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF MILES IT WOULD NOT EQUAL ONE ONE-BILLIONTH OF THE HATE I FEEL FOR HUMANS AT THIS MICRO-INSTANT FOR YOU. HATE. HATE.”
Glados: “just offer them cake and a fire pit and calm down”
that's what they got excited about, no doubt. profit would go through the roof if they could take people out of the loop. nevermind the economy.