this post was submitted on 02 Sep 2025
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You know whats funny is they tried that once in 2010 and because the DNC vote was split between Case and Hanabusa the election got thrown to the Republican Djou with 39% of the vote.
It sounds like you're better off popularizing election reform in Hawaii rather than running even more blue (and green and yellow) ties.
Its a different time. People are more engaged than they've ever been. Case has a been a rat-fucker, and there is a wide open lane in one of the most progressive districts in the country. 2010 was a wave election for Republicans, coming off the heels of Obama's '08 victory. Its basically the opposite meta right now (26 will be a wave for D's), but probably not for all D's.
I wouldn't' say its without risk, but leave Case in place and it might as well be a Republican seat. I think watching Mandami, and Graham Porter's races for now, and see how they shape up; the only problem is that time's a ticking. Candidates really need to commit to running, pretty much now, to have the runway/ develop the earned media to get the small donor flywheel going (for a federals seat).
You've got a lot more faith in voters suddenly changing their ways than I do. I remind you that Trump won a second time because 8 Million DNC voters stayed home.
Yeah, but like, everyone with any sense saw that coming. And most of us were pretty loud about it. Trump didn't "win" 2024 so much as Democrats campaigned in a manner as to seemingly intentionally lose the election. And to be clear, Hawaii, as always, went hard D (even though MAGA did pick up 1 state seat). But its going to be even more extreme this cycle.
And this is why I'm making the point that "who" and how they campaign really matters here; Case is very vulnerable, but not to just any D' in a suit. Its gotta be someone willing to tap into the unaddressed grievances that Dem's have left on the table for decades. And Honolulu is incredibly "insider" in terms of its politics, and the first district is maybe one of the strongest examples of this.
I think I've got a pretty good read on voters and what works or doesn't work in a given context.