this post was submitted on 19 Jan 2026
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It's unclear from context who Forrester is or what they studied. But I'd be interested to learn if this supports that AI output replaces the 6 %, or if the economy will contract 6 %.
My cynical guess would be that the study is more based on current employment trends, rather than actual economic viability. Meaning the 6% will be the 2030 size of the bubble of tech bros still trying to find a product-market fit at the expense of VC money.
If anyone manages to figure out what that study is, I'd welcome a link or doi.
https://investor.forrester.com/news-releases/news-release-details/forrester-ai-led-job-disruption-will-escalate-while-fears-job
Thank you!
Having read it, there is no study. It's a prediction of undisclosed methodology, and it's unknown and obfuscated where their number of 6,1 % comes from.
I'd assume the whole report is an educated (futurism) guess, and I don't have the track record of how good Forrester is at those.
The full report is a $1500 product, so I'm afraid I won't be reading it.