Polling has been getting increasingly worse for decades now.
Their accuracy died with the monoculture and no amount of multilevel regression and post-stratification seems to compensate for that
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Polling has been getting increasingly worse for decades now.
Their accuracy died with the monoculture and no amount of multilevel regression and post-stratification seems to compensate for that
Their accuracy died when people like me became difficult to poll.
I don't answer phone calls from unknown callers. I delete unsolicited text messages. I throw away irrelevant junk mail without opening it. I automatically delete emails that don't come from my whitelist of approved senders. I don't answer the door for door-to-door solicitors.
How are pollsters supposed to find out about the opinions of me and people like me? It's just impossible. And I don't think I'm alone -- there's a large and growing portion of the population who are just absolutely impossible to get poll data about.
same its all old people doing it. i made the mistake of answer poll by phone during obama era.
Surveys have always been nonsense. I suppose if you are legitimately trying to find something out then that is one thing, but almost every group doing surveys has an ulterior motive. If the data starts looking bad for them, they just don't release it or they cherry-pick who they are talking to by how they gather the data. Either way, it is always skewed towards the advantage of whoever is paying the tab.
Yup.
Are we the dumbest species alive or what? ffs
In the future you won’t own anything. Even your opinion

That should be illegal.
Jail the fuckers
Not in Trump's America.
I mean if someone is paying them to do the poll, then it's fraud and already illegal
AIs are WAY smarter than half the population. This will heavily skew the results.
Smarter in some ways, but in most ways it is just a sycophantic hallucinatory machine.
in very NICHED and modified cases, like with cancer detection , that is not from commercial sources, even then its extremely limited and very reliant on using so many scans to even detect cancer.
the nu dark age
But of course they are.