this post was submitted on 25 Feb 2026
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PDF.

Today’s leading AI models engage in sophisticated behaviour when placed in strategic competition. They spontaneously attempt deception, signaling intentions they do not intend to follow; they demonstrate rich theory of mind, reasoning about adversary beliefs and anticipating their actions; and they exhibit credible metacognitive self-awareness, assessing their own strategic abilities before deciding how to act.

Here we present findings from a crisis simulation in which three frontier large language models (GPT-5.2, Claude Sonnet 4, Gemini 3 Flash) play opposing leaders in a nuclear crisis.

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[–] yakko@feddit.uk 13 points 5 hours ago

Those prompts are aimed at producing a specific result for sure. The war game doesn't prove anything on its own, but I can't help feeling that in a real life scenario where anyone asks an AI what to do, they're going to have a specific outcome in mind already, one way or another.

That's just how misty people are, by the time they ask for advice they've already made up their mind. So the war game was realistic, but only by accident.