this post was submitted on 28 Apr 2026
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It's not necessarily "will" but going independant relies entirely on the good will of the two countries that would border Alberta. One of which we've been antagonizing for years (Canada) and the other has been threatening its "allies" left right and center. Having to renegotiate every trade deal we have after seceding puts Alberta in a fairly precarious position because of this. Fairness isn't really a factor.
In my experience as a Spaniard (and our own independence themes with Catalonia and Euskal Herria) antagonizing the pro-independence by threatening them with economic sanctions upon independence usually doesn't have good political results. Nothing quenched the pro-independence more than a progressive-ish government that didn't antagonize them.