this post was submitted on 05 May 2026
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Polling has been getting increasingly worse for decades now.
Their accuracy died with the monoculture and no amount of multilevel regression and post-stratification seems to compensate for that
Their accuracy died when people like me became difficult to poll.
I don't answer phone calls from unknown callers. I delete unsolicited text messages. I throw away irrelevant junk mail without opening it. I automatically delete emails that don't come from my whitelist of approved senders. I don't answer the door for door-to-door solicitors.
How are pollsters supposed to find out about the opinions of me and people like me? It's just impossible. And I don't think I'm alone -- there's a large and growing portion of the population who are just absolutely impossible to get poll data about.
same its all old people doing it. i made the mistake of answer poll by phone during obama era.