this post was submitted on 24 May 2026
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Cuba ain't Iran. There is no Cuban equivalent of the IRGC or trading network back door that extends to Russia and China.
When the hammer falls, we're mostly going to see a lot of dead Cubans and a lot of fled Cubans.
The real risk that War With Cuba presents is a massive flood of refugees showing up across the Caribbean and Mexico.
I would put the deaths of a large number of cubans at the top of the risk list.
Hegseth will order the military to shoot refugees
Probably. Another case of lobbing a $500k artillery round at a guy who makes $200/mo.
If refugees can float to the mainland, I think there is probably reason for concern that asymmetrical warfare can be performed, regardless of their lack of traditional or ultra modern equipment. We have literally never avoided consequences from regime change abroad, so maybe it's a bad idea. Just thinking out loud here.
I would be far less worried about Americans living in the Gulf Coast and far more worried about Cubans subject to US Total War on the island
They're already cooking trash with cardboard, at some point the suffering you can inflict is negligible
Well, it is still quite a lot of difference to have war on another side of the earth, than having war on your backyard.
Idk. What were the domestic consequences of our Contra War in Nicaragua?
I think they did just get some. It won't be enough to fight the united States seriously or hold out except in a house-to-house way but it will be enough to blow the shit out of the worst parts of it, should they choose to. Which they should.
They should start with Epstein's palm beach estate and the surrounding pedophiles.