this post was submitted on 28 Aug 2025
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Funny, I would propose the exact opposite. OpenAI is doomed, they are committed to spending more money than they can ever hope to earn, and already have a hard time raising anything covering their operating expenses, let alone the training of new innovative models. Their life will only keep getting harder and they'll never have it as good as they did in 2023.
On the other hand, alternative models get better every day and have tokens that cost a fraction of those from large model makers. Some of what you call ChatGPT "wrappers" actually have solid and healthy business models and are burning reasonable amounts of cash (reasonable for VC backed businesses anyway). They'll just switch to cheaper models when price pressure tells them to and they'll be fine.