this post was submitted on 19 Jan 2026
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Facing reality and evaluating technologies through the crucial era of the 2010s with an eye on efficiency and pollutant reduction in the overall energy sector. From there, having the empirical justifications to your nation that focusing on energy storage and further electrification would be more beneficial than fossil fuels.
Rather than doubling down on the existing status quo due to lobbying and sunk cost beliefs from prior consumption rates.
Sure. But that doesn't change China's economic growth path. You aren't changing their behavior
Oh, certainly. However, if enough nations had their heads out of their asses and spoke with engineers rather than oil tycoons, we'd have a more competitive and distributed market for these technologies and a lower future dependence on Chinese imports for said technologies.
Right now, I can see a chokehold forming on that sector, and it's a completely self-inflicted circumstance for those deadset on oil.
I don't see a future where at least one of the two largest populations of educated professionals doesn't lead the way on electric vehicles. And that really only leaves you with China or India.
You might have a broader distribution or more regionalized production. But there's no world in which a country with the manufacturing capacity plus the enormous population advantage doesn't come out on top eventually.
I don't see a chokehold on EVs any more than Taiwan has a chokehold on CPUs.
There's a building comparative advantage, but the global market is enormous. Plenty of room to catch up.
That's why China has ten competitive major brands right now
Regarding EVs I agree with you, but I was referring to sodium/solid state battery production.
As for Chinese production leading the charge, I also think that's apt, but I'm referring to the availability of domestic alternatives for things such as military production, which seems to only being kickstarted recently compared to say the 2010s. Currently, it seems like compromises will have to be made in order to minimize reliance on imported batteries from China, which is not necessarily a problem for the consumer market, but may be for governments seeking isolationist policies for their self-sufficiency (EU, US).
There is still plenty of time for things to change of course, but there are plenty of missed opportunities along the way.