this post was submitted on 05 Feb 2026
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The graph is a projection based on an aggregation of polls, it already accounts for it. For context, it's from https://338canada.com/alberta
No, it ends on Dec. 20th. It looks like your link is from 2026. They haven't added it yet.
Read about his methodology - this is not a graph of every poll, it's a projection on the aggregate.
Oh you're right! My bad, sorry.
Huh, so I wonder why the graph lags behind the input data, then. The methodology page explains how they weight it, mostly.
He manually updates the projections, though I'm not sure why he doesn't update the Alberta one very often, could just be that the data is not very good with so few polls being done.