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There are still way too many people who thing republicans are decent people. Maybe it's because your mother or father is a republican, but that doesn't make republicans good it makes your parents horrible.
I know, I talk to a few people who say their parents are "true conservatives" that voted Republican but hate donnie and didn't vote for him (allegedly).
SMH. What the fuck even is a "true conservative"? Just sounds like No True Scotsman stuff.
I live in rural Ohio, the number of signs that are proudly Republican is too damn high.
I’m always amazed, it’ll just be some guys name and then “REPUBLICAN” and that’s the whole sign, like it’s a good thing.
Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.
Well, that's because they can't read, are too poorly educated to obtain a proper job to afford communication utilities, and/or stubborn. Majority of them are just pedophile criminal racists and enjoy their leaders being the same.
It's the shy voter effect. When politicians are unpopular, people don't like to admit to supporting them. In most historical cases, this correlates with low turnout, so the effects on polling tend to cancel out. When Trump has been on the ballot, this correlation hasn't held up the same way, and polling has slightly underestimated MAGA turnout.
Basically it depends on how "real" you think Trump's unpopularity actually is. Are these people done with him, or just annoyed enough not to talk to pollsters?
Trump supporters are also less likely to show up for a midterm, but they conveniently left that truth out of their clickbait.
I'll take it if it scares more people to go out and vote. Never assume anything is in the bag
I'm not assuming we'll win but I also don't believe that fearmongering works well on Dem voters. I saw a study a while back that showed that Dem and independent voters respond much more strongly to positive messaging than negative messaging. So I really don't buy that scaring and stressing people out works.
While that might be true, I'm concerned that a lot of them are cowards, too cowardly to admit to pollsters that they're still gonna vote for Republicans, too cowardly to even research what Democrats and independents are offering, and too cowardly to ever break their routine of showing up to vote for Republicans every time.
Calling the majority of any large sample size pedophiles is quite the stretch.
Except for when that sample comes from a massive group of pedophiles.
Wow 38-39M Trump supporting pedophiles not even including all the others! Impressive but seems completely unrealistic.
The last two DNC picks who lost seemed like they had it in the bag. They also talked about Trump more than they did their own policy.
They're running the same strategy again.
Cook Political Report forecasts Democrats will gain nine to 19 seats in the House, which would give the party a narrow majority. In the Senate, Cook predicts a potential Democratic net gain of two to six seats. Democrats would need four seats to take control of the chamber.
The current DNC chair is gonna run a fair presidential primary in less than two years...
No matter what happens the neoliberals will say midterms could have been better and Martin needs to resign. Because neoliberals have no chance in hell of winning a fair primary.
And if we get a progressive in 2028 into the White House, they pick the next DNC chair in 2029.
We're on the cusp of some real FDR shit, but neoliberals (as always) will do anything including helping Republicans to stop it.
You've been saying this so often and for so long that I'm really curious to see how you're going to try and spin it when the DNC fucks over progressives like they always do. Ken Martin is like the second coming of Jesus to you for some reason.
I bet you've never once looked up a bill and checked out the votes to see how Republicans blocked so many of them because the Democrats didn't have enough of a voting majority.
Do you know why the Public Option was removed from the Affordable Care Act? Because Democrats needed 60 votes, and there were only 58 Democrats elected to the Senate, with 2 Independents voting with them.. 60 exactly - this gave extraordinary power to any Democrat who was against the public option (Joe Lieberman and 5 others). If 6 or more extra Democrats had been elected, the Lieberman 6 votes would have had no power. Or if just 6 Republicans out of the 40 had voted with the Democrats. Ha.
And in the end, I always see people blaming the Democrats, not the Republicans. Because nobody looks at the actual bills and how they are gutted or defeated because the people won't elect enough Dems to counter the Rep opposition. Shrug.
My optimism for the midterms are bigger than the sun, and smaller than a grain of rice at the same time.
Well when you've been trained that voting anything but Republican means you've turned your back to God...
Also a whole lot of men view voting Democratic the same way they view eating plant-based foods. They think it'll turn them into women or something.
It's awfully telling that that's a scary thing for them. They don't want to be sentenced to being treated the way that they treat women. They don't want to be "inferior" people. It's also why they're so transphobic. They can't understand why anybody would ever want to give up being a man to become a woman, so they must be getting something out of it, like probably an unfair advantage in sports or to look at women in locker rooms or something. They're incapable of really empathizing with anybody whose life experience is different from theirs, even just with people who are still white and cis and hetero, but are women. So non-white and/or non-cis and/or non-hetero just absolutely does not compute. They think that their simple, privileged, suburban or rural experience is what 95% of the country is.
The fear of being similar to a woman drives so much of the manosphere. Looking back on things like Gamergate, it's very easy to see how many angry young men there were - driven to complete frothing rage because of a woman journalist? I mean, what the fuck are we even doing here?
But I do think some of it is pretty easy to see - lots of fragile men who no longer do "real jobs", if they have regular employment at all, and in many cases, they have less education than their female peers. Also, women are not as dependent on them, financially, and so the dating scene seems out of balance to the historic "norm" they think it should be.
So they resort to all this stupid performative nonsense - and it really is nonsense - performative meat-eating, preparation of meat (smokers, barbeques, grills, etc.) and talking about "protein" all the time is one of the strongest indicators of just how stupid things have become. It serves as a fantastic proxy for a lot of it, if you ask me. Of course, it tends to cluster with other stupid behaviors like driving enormous vehicles modified to "roll coal" on other drivers, bikers, pedestrians, etc. Oh, and of course, performative gun ownership and voting Republican...
This is supposed to be masculine? Do they know the most petite, fragile and girly of women can do all these things, too?
all those in PA remember one thing. If you vote for Frank Pastella and the rest of the republicans, you vote to let Pastella rape your kids. Vote no to Republikkkans like Frank Pastella to keep their dicks outside of your children's bodies.
It never is I wish this shit would stop because it makes people complacent and is actual bullshit. Also paired with the fact I’ve heard this before and it has been an absolute disaster. Don’t listen to the media just vote Dem so we don’t all get gassed in fucking ovens and if you think that is hyperbole you’re a fucking idiot.
The only people saying it's "in the bad" are other pollsters. The pollsters should just figure it out between themselves and leave us to do a Democracy.
I'm just so disillusioned with the Dems, I don't really care anymore. It's literal nazi's vs corporate sellouts. They can all get fucked.
I fear we're going to see another historical percentage of people abstain from voting.
Despite the way online conversation goes, we haven't really seen historically low voter participation rates. In fact, looking at the data for recent years we have actually seen fairly consistently higher percentage than historic rates by a little bit.
I been saying it. Republicans hold all the cards. They will hold onto both houses and maybe pick up a few seats.
If not, they'll just refuse to seat any Democrats, and take over that way. Either case, we're fucked.
What will happen if it falls?
White liberals will kick the can down the road, allow MAGA to further steamroll their institutions, refuse to fight back, keep doing bullshit little parades every four months, and insist (while on their way to the camps) that all they REALLY need to do is just VOTE harder in 2028, because direct action is just SO UNCOUTH.
i think the real story is there will be a blue wave, or there won't be. 50:50 split here