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This is going to spiral out of control. The whole Middle East is going to suffer from this. How is Russia going to react? What are the domestic repercussions going to be during an election year?
No love for the Ayatollah's regime but this is a disaster. This admin has such limited forethought they will make the Bush admin look like geniuses in retrospect
Definitely. From what I've read, the CIA and military brass advised against this move because someone more aligned with the IRGC could be installed. Who knows what that will look like, but the Khamenei government was offering to honor the 2015 nuclear agreement. Next regime probably won't be so cooperative.
Also wondering how this will change the plans and behavior of other big global players like China and India in the longer term. Preamble to WW3 or just a new era of heightened millitarism worldwide?
Long term, no idea. But Putin thrives on creating chaos, and much of his international strategy involves taking stable democracies and doing everything in his power to destabilize them. Just today a report came out in regard to likely Russian interference in Denmark's upcoming elections, but check out the sub-header:
Putin did it in the UK with Brexit, he's done it (and is still doing it) here in the US, and now he's taking it further. Don't think for two seconds that Putin is threatened by this at all.
I guess Ukraine won't have to worry about as many Shaheds going their way?