this post was submitted on 06 Mar 2026
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That's an interesting take. I was assuming the US was just going to destroy a bunch of infrastructure with munitions and declare victory. If US soldiers are deployed it seems like there could be a huge backlash.
I hope you're right.
Yeah, I can't see how just destroying infrastructure is going to accomplish anything. Total regime change seems to be the only logical end goal.
Military angle: Intelligence says that Iran is super close to having nukes. Random strikes on nuke labs, assassinations of nuke scientists, etc. won't help anymore cuz Iran has put all their facilities inside that big ass mountain. Total regime change is the only method through which Iran stops pursuit of nukes. Just killing the Ayatollah and the entirety of the high command is a waste of bombs if that momentum isn't used to build something further.
Trumpian angle: My guess is that he's just doing it for "legacy" purposes. Similar to Putin and Ukraine. Putin wanted a legacy similar to Peter the great. Trump probably wants something like that. That's why he was trying to force himself on Greenland and Canada. That's why the Gulf of America bullshit exists. Little men with big egos. He was getting too rapey, which is probably why his advisors advised him to take it out on Iran as it would be the least damaging compared to Greenland or fkin Canada lol. But this again becomes super unpredictable too! This entire Iran thing could stop on Trump's whim.
Economic angle: Not so confident of what I'm saying here, but my guess is that this is quite good for big oil and defense contractors. Defense contractors want more consumption of their wares and services. Big oil wants to be able to have a stake in extracting and exporting Iranian oil and gas. Anything aside from achieving this final goal hurts them, as their product becomes more expensive due to higher shipping costs through the strait of Hormuz, thus reducing demand.