this post was submitted on 11 Mar 2026
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Lol. "Explain how something that hasn't happened is ok!"
Because it hasn't happened, dumbass. How is New Zealand nuking Canada in the future ok?
So... my PhD Chinese friend says China will likely invade Taiwan if the US engages a ground invasion in Iran.
I said, no fucking way bro.
He said ya, because the US will be spread too thin. It's a good opportunity for China to take control of the state with almost no recourse.
I asked, but what about the TCMC?
His response was that China isn't interested in Taiwan for that reason, rather that it's a historical mark that persists as a blemish in the "unification of China."
We both agree it's not very logical.
I admit that not an A+ source, but I believe he knows more about it than me and based on decades of political rhetoric surrounding Taiwan - it's highly likely he's right. China does not hide the fact they will take Taiwan as soon as the US cannot respond.
I'm not sure why that would even be a question. The US is only reason the impending invasion of Taiwan has not yet occurred. This is all very easily verifiable.
So? Seriously, so? That's completely meaningless. "My mate said it could happen so it's actually already happened!"
Well my mate said that you're going to murder your family, so how about you explain why it's ok that you murdered your family?
This is not a logical or reasonable comparison at all. The point is about having a culturally relevant person interested in the topics that allow us to bring relevant perspectives to the table. It's much better as an example than say... a podcast like Joe Rogan and his buddies discussing war tactics.
None of that remotely changes how ludicrously bad faith it was for to demand Cowbee justify something China hasn't done.
And boy oh boy do you love claiming that your assertions are unquestionably true because you heard it from a Chinese person, meanwhile you dismissed the actual Chinese person here who disagrees with you out of hand
I don’t think China feels a need to rush integration when they believe it’s already overdetermined, inevitable. And Taiwan isn’t going anywhere. China knows the imperialist states are in decline, having financialized/de-industrialized themselves into paper tigers. I think this war is likely to make that clear to everyone, including Taiwan’s bourgeoisie.