this post was submitted on 23 Apr 2026
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So, when this latest round of gerrymandering kicked off it was stated this was a contest the Democrats would ultimately lose because they control fewer US States.
In the last few days there's been some triumphalism as two? or three? Democrat run States have redistricted. But based on the assumption that Republican States do the same, this isn't actually good news.
Am I out of the loop on some developments here?
Are Democratic run States finding it easier to redistrict than Republican run? Or is there some tangible reason theres an air of triumphalism?
Or are people not appreciating the wider arms-race-like contest and focusing too much on small wins out of context?
If every state went full Gerrymander, Republicans have more trifectas by number of states, but Democrats gain more based on population and house seats.
Whats a trifecta? Is it House, Senate, Governorship?
So, the Republicans control more, due to winning more State Senates and Governorships but there are more, in raw number of reps, Democrats elected to the State Houses?
not quite. they're saying Republicans would control more state Congresses and governorships, but Democrats would get more federal congressional seats.
but if Republicans control more states, they'd also control more federal Senate seats