this post was submitted on 10 Sep 2026
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People still seem to think AI is a fad that will go away. I don't see this happening (for code) at all. Not ever
Like every other recent bubble, the output is not monolithic and uniform. Like all before it, all the stupid/silly/wasteful use cases will dry up, and something will remain, but nothing like what we see at the apex of the hype cycle.
See the dot-com and crypto bubbles for the most directly applicable examples. Both yielded useful technological advancements still in use today, but those are only a fraction of a speck of a ghost of the use cases being touted at their peak.
People don’t really understand this yet. There are LLMs that can do useful work running locally on 5 year old laptops (ok, only if it’s a Macbook Pro, but still). Qwen on consumer hardware isn’t close to Claude Code using cloud models, but it can do real work and this is the floor, the absolute minimum of AI we will have going forward. No matter what happens to the industry and the bubble, it will not go away. With any other outcome other than a total collapse of the bubble, AI will be more powerful than that.