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I think it's the huge margin for the win, and this:
For iberville and assumption, in the presidential elections, support between R and D has moved within bounds of like, 2%, for the last 3 presidential elections.
In that same time frame, the maximum support a republican candidate for the 60th house of representatives has been 18.8%. Not margin, TOTAL.
Don't get me wrong. It's not bad news. But the reality of this outcome in this district is "No material shift in voting patterns in area over the last 20 years".
That still makes the 67% Trump got in 2024 really questionable. But nobody in charge has seemed to bat a fucking eye.
Why would it?
This pattern has existed since before Trump in that district. Leans right at federal level, leans left at state level.
Assumption is slowly sliding more right at the federal level... but also sliding more right at the state level. At 38% of the vote Daigle had the best republican showing in 20 years.
This result isn't a directional divergence. That would maybe raise an eyebrow.