this post was submitted on 20 Oct 2026
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politics

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Today is Tuesday, 10/20 and the general US Elections are in TWO WEEKS.

As it stands right now, the current Senate composition is:
47 - Democrats
51 - Republicans
2 - Independents

Looking at the numbers, we COULD see a huge shift in the Senate this year, best case scenario would be:

52 - Democrats
45 - Republicans
3 - Independents

Chart Follows:

State Current Occupant Status D Cand R Cand Polling 10/18 Outcome Polling Direction
Colorado Democratic Hickenlooper Safe D John Hickelooper Mark Baisley D+6
Delaware Democratic Coons Safe D Chris Coons Michael Katz D+29.7
Georgia Democratic Ossoff Safe D Jon Ossoff Mike Collins D+8
Illnois Democratic Durbin Safe D Juliana Stratton Don Tracy D+20
Massachusetts Democratic Markey Safe D Ed Markey John Deaton D+24
New Hampshire Democratic Shaheen Safe D Chris Pappas John E. Sununu D+7
New Jersey Democratic Booker Safe D Cory Booker Justin Murphy D+22
New Mexico Democratic Luja Safe D Ben Ray Luján Larry Marker D+18
Oregon Democratic Merkley Safe D Jeff Merkley David Brock Smith D+25
Rhode Island Democratic Reed Safe D Jack Reed Raymond McKay D+20
Virginia Democratic Warner Safe D Mark Warner Bert Mizusawa D+20
Minnesota Democratic Smith D Peggy Flanagan Michele Tafoya D+4
North Carolina Republican Tillis D Roy Cooper Michael Whatley D+10 Possible D Flip D Momentum since 6/1
Alabama Republican Tuberville Safe R Everett Wess Barry Moore R+21
Arkansas Republican Cotton Safe R Hallie Shoffner Tom Cotton R+9
Florida Republican Moody Safe R Angie Nixon Ashley Moody R+5.2
Idaho Republican Risch Safe R Withdrawn Jim Risch R+12.1
Kentucky Republican McConnell Safe R Charles Booker Andy Barr R+9
Louisiana Republican Cassidy Safe R Jamie Davis Julia Letlow R+4
Mississippi Republican Hyde-Smith Safe R Cindy Hyde-Smith Scott Colom R+9
Montana Republican Daines Safe R Alani Bankhead Kurt Alme R+16
Nebraska Republican Ricketts Safe R Dan Osborn (I) Pete Ricketts R+1 R Momentum since 10/1
Oklahoma Republican Armstrong Safe R N'Kiyla Thomas Kevin Hern R+28
South Dakota Republican Rounds Safe R Brian Bengs Mike Rounds R+6
Tennessee Republican Hagerty Safe R Marquita Bradshaw Bill Hagerty R+25
West Virgiia Republican Capito Safe R Rachel Fetty Anderson Shelley Moore Capito R+21
Wyoming Republican Lummis Safe R James Byrd Harriet Hageman R+23
South Carolina Republican Graham R Annie Andrews Darline Graham R+1 R Momentum since 8/29
Alaska Republican Sullivan Tossup Mary Peltola Dan Sullivan D+3 Possible D Flip D Momentum since 8/4
Iowa Republican Ernst Tossup Josh Turek Ashley Hinson D+1 Possible D Flip D Momentum since 9/10
Kansas Republican Marshall Tossup Adam Hamilton Roger Marshall D+1 Possible D Flip D Momentum since 10/1
Maine Republican Collins Tossup Troy Jackson Susan Collins D+2 Possible D Flip D Momentum since 7/6
Michigan Democratic Peters Tossup Abdul El-Sayed Mike Rogers D+3 Possible R Flip D Momentum since 8/17
Ohio Republican Husted Tossup Sherrod Brown Jon Husted D+4 Possible D Flip D Momentum since 6/2
Texas Republican Cornyn Tossup James Talarico Ken Paxton D+4 Possible D Flip D Momentum since 6/1
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