politics
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:

- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
view the rest of the comments
No matter how much Polymarket pretends to be against this, it's exactly how it's supposed to work.
I know people call it glorified betting, and a ton of it is....but you can't deny the reality that an anonymous crypto based being system is bound to be one of the best predictors of major events. For exactly the reason that insiders will inevitably find a way to make money off their knowledge.
Everyone gets their panties in a bunch about it, but I find it a fascinating experiment on manipulating greed.
You are repeating marketing. First of all Polymarket isn't against this, they have openly welcomed insider trading. They claim insiders have they best information and thus make the prediction better. Second, when we actually look at the data, it turns out sites like Polymarket are only marginally better than actual guessing. It has nothing to do with predicting anything, it's just straight up betting. There have been a couple of outliers, but those turned out to be because of insiders heavily betting. They skewed the results a lot and that's not prediction, those people knew the outcome. Third, these kinds of companies heavily influence the betting themselves, often "buying the other side of the contract". This raises the stakes and increases engagement. Having it appear one side is favored, means people tend to pile on.
There's plenty of good stories and videos about how fucked up these "prediction markets" actually are. John Oliver just did an episode on it. I would personally recommend this Patrick Boyle video for a good overview: https://youtu.be/e0nsou-1Q2k
Tldr: It's all a huge scam and rigged betting.
It's a spying tool that inteligence agencies tried to implement in foreign countries before, but failed. You brought it on yourself.
Also, its often self-fullfiling profecy. And it's not as accurate as they claim.