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The GOP's once sure-fire odds to retain their Senate majority in the midterms are looking bleaker every day, but according to a new report from Politico, some in the party are plotting a "coup" that could save them from a complete wipeout: flipping John Fetterman, the increasingly ostracized Democratic senator. Fetterman was first elected to the Senate from Pennsylvania in 2022, besting the Trump-backed Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz and helping Democrats defy the odds and grow their majority in the chamber. Initially styling himself as a working-class progressive champion, he has since made a major shift away from his own party, voicing support for various initiatives and nominees from President Donald Trump and breaking the Democratic minority on several key votes.

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[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 11 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (4 children)

35 Senate seats are up for election this year, Fetterman is not one of them. Currently the Senate is 53 Republican, 45 Democratic, 2 Independent.

I'd LOVE to see BOTH the House and Senate flip, but if you go race by race, most of these are super safe either D or R. These are state wide elections so gerrymandering does not apply.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections

Interim elections:

Florida - Ashley Moody Safe Republican (filling Marco Rubio's seat)
Ohio - Jon Husted Safe Republican (filling JD Vance's seat)

General elections:

Alabama - Tommy Tuberville Safe Republican
Alaska - Dan Sullivan Safe Republican
Arkansas - Tom Cotton Safe Republican
Idaho - Jim Risch Safe Republican
Iowa - Joni Ernst Safe Republican
Kansas - Roger Marshall Safe Republican
Kentucky - Mitch McConnell Safe Republican
Louisiana - Bill Cassidy Safe Republican
Mississippi - Cindy Hyde-Smith Safe Republican
Montana - Steve Daines Safe Republican
Nebraska - Pete Ricketts Safe Republican
North Carolina - Thom Tillis Safe Republican
Oklahoma - Alan S. Armstrong Safe Republican
South Carolina - Lindsey Graham Safe Republican
South Dakota - Mike Rounds Safe Republican
Tennesseee - Bill Hagerty Safe Republican
Texas - John Cornyn Safe Republican
West Virginia - Shelley Moore Capito Safe Republican
Wyoming - Cynthia Lummis Safe Republican

Colorado - Dan Hickenlooper Safe Democratic
Delaware - Chris Coons Safe Democratic
Illinois - Dick Durbin Safe Democratic
Massachusetts - Ed Markey Safe Democratic
Minnesota - Tina Smith Safe Democratic
New Hampshire - Jeanne Shaheen Safe Democratic
New Jersey - Corey Booker Safe Democratic
New Mexico - Ben Ray Luján Safe Democratic
Oregon - Jeff Merkley Safe Democratic
Rhode Island - Jack Reed Safe Democratic
Virginia - Mark Warner Safe Democratic

Georgia - Jon Ossoff - Likely Flip D->R
Maine - Susan Collins - Likely Flip R->D

Michigan - Gary Peters Democratic Toss Up

I'd love to see No Kings get out the vote and flip Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Texas.

That would flip the Senate from 53R:45D:2I to 51D:2I:47R. But realistically, looking at the voting history in those states? Aint never gonna happen.

Georgia and Maine flip 1:1, and the best case scenario is the Democrats hold Michigan and nothing changes: 53:45:2. Worst case? 54:44:2 and still nothing changes.

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 11 points 2 days ago (2 children)

This isn't a normal cycle tho...

The "fight everywhere" plan is paying off huge, state parties are operating at campaign levels and have been for over a year.

"Knock on wood" and all that, but the next two midterms are gonna be blood bath, simply be cause some of these seats are seeing their first serious and well funded challenger in decades.

They're seats neoliberals handed to Republicans to prevent an actual majority of Dems and them having to do anything.

I'm usually right about this shit, we're gonna see record breaking turnouts and a blue wVe. Everyone will take the wrong lesson from this too.

The gains are because this is what happens when neoliberals don't have the reigns to the DNC, and that's all it's ever taken.

[–] AmidFuror@fedia.io 4 points 2 days ago

The gains will be because enough of the low information voters who put Trump back in office will remember that he hasn't made their daily lives better.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 4 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I'd LOVE for that to happen, but in the Senate I don't believe it will. The HOUSE races will be a bloodbath of epic proportions though!

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 3 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

Yeah, it's a long progress and will take a couple cycles.

The only way we fuck it up is if a neoliberal wins the presidential primary due to depressed turnout.

If that happens, they'll likely still win the general,but then they'll hand the party to a neoliberal who will go back to fixing primaries.

That's why there's already a big push against the DNC by billionaire owned media.

Like, imagine the type of DNC chair someone like AOC would nominate (officially there's a performative vote).

The way to get that tho, is getting someone like AOC thru the Dem primary, not around it.

Ironically enough, it's the plan for actual Marxist-Lenism

Marxism–Leninism holds that a two-stage communist revolution is needed to replace capitalism. A vanguard party, organized through democratic centralism, would seize power on behalf of the proletariat and establish a one-party communist state. The state would control the means of production, suppress opposition, counter-revolution, and the bourgeoisie, and promote Soviet collectivism, to pave the way for an eventual communist society that would be classless and stateless.[12]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marxism%E2%80%93Leninism

We just have to make sure we don't hand the keys to the bus to someone like Stalin at that point in the game...

[–] AmidFuror@fedia.io 2 points 2 days ago

The Party needs a lot of power to keep the capitalists from making a comeback. They will inevitably abuse that to keep their in-party enemies (e.g., Trotskyists) from getting any power. And eventually they will realize that it's hard to get absurdly rich on communist labor alone, so they'll allow capitalism back while maintaining one-party rule and political repression of the masses.

Source: Russia, China, Vietnam

[–] BigMacHole@thelemmy.club 6 points 2 days ago

DONT worry! I'm SURE ~~Protecting Pedophiles!~~ ~~Protecting Billionaires!~~ ~~Starting Multiple Wars!~~ ~~Making it IMPOSSIBLE to Afford to Live!~~ ~~Eliminating VA Benefits!~~ ~~Defunding our Troops!~~ ~~Killing American Citizens in the Street!~~ ~~Kidnapping Children at the Request of the Federal Government!~~ will Convince Republican voters to NOT vote Republican!

If we fucking show up we can take Texas. Talarico is polling at or above the Republican candidates and they're still fighting it out while Talarico builds his base.

[–] mosspiglet@lemmy.world 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Alabama voted in Doug Jones, likely a fluke that we won't be able to repeat, but there is a very thin sliver of hope.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 1 points 2 days ago

IIRC Doug Jones was running against an active sex offender so it was a little different. The moment he was against a "normal" candidate, he was out.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Alabama

Followed by:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alabama