this post was submitted on 10 Jun 2026
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I'm still predicting a terrorist attack (blamed on the Iranians) used to cancel the midterms. Polymarket gives this a 1/20 chance
Do you often consult gambling addicts for their advice? It's a weird flex, but you do you, I suppose.
With this administration and it's insider trading, yes.
Polymarket crypto gambler made $436,000 on Maduro capture
Yeah, and all those stories are of people doing the equivalent of stock dumping as the thing is about to happen, not them broadcasting their plays months in advance. So, again, you often consult gambling addicts? Cause that's all who's playing around with far away predictions.
5-10% of gamblers are predicting something that would be unthinkable a decade ago.
Also note that 90-95% of gamblers think everything will run as normal.
There are gambling addicts on both sides of the bet. Which side don't you like?
Upvoted but fuck polymarket however I'm curious what are the odds on Obama being jailed before the end of the year? Lol
7% before 2027
Also, agree to fuck polymarket. Betting on events that people can influence should be illegal. (Which would include many traditional sports betting events)
It will be incredibly incompetently pulled off. There'll be a car bomb that will only result in the car catching fire because it turns out gasoline isn't actually that explosive, or the bomb will detonate at midnight rather than midday because they don't understand 24-hour clocks, it will not work at all because they got the instructions from Grok.
They might just fake a bio weapons attack but the big problem with that is once it's proven that it's a fraud there won't be any justification anymore. So they will need to do some actual damage to something.
I'm sure there is enough money to be made to pay someone competent enough to act and keep quiet afterwards.
An incident wouldn't need to be big for an excuse to start the cancellations of elections.
If you find somebody on their group capable of hiring somebody competent...
Or keeping quiet about that hiring.
Anyway, the GP is a huge throwback to the CIA intervention in Brazil in the 1960s. It's almost a description of it. Or of the people asking them to intervene again nowadays.