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It was not remotely close, and Michigan is a very bad state for you to pick this fight, because it was at the heart of the "undecided" movement, where we have clear data that exactly what was needed for Democrats to win the election was explicitly left on the table by both Democratic campaigns.
You need to see 2024 as an unforced error, an intentional loss on the part of Democrats, because there has never been a more clear path to victory than what was given to the Biden and Harris campaigns. At least, when the text books are written, this is what they'll say. The uncommitted movement was clear about a specific policy which needed to change, and what it would take to get those votes. Its literally unprecedented, as in, this had never happened in a US election before. Books will be written and studies will be made about this phenomena.
Literally all the campaign needed to do was to listen to its voters.
Michigan was the only state where Palestine was a major factor in people not voting Democrat. Trump still won all the other swing states. There were more people that were surprised Biden wasn't on the ballot than there were people not voting for Harris because of genocide nationally. That's 100% the fault of Democrats not doing a primary and falling back to the candidate no one actually wanted.